Nick Mullens Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nick Mullens

NFL · Player Props

Nick Mullens

QB · Minnesota Vikings

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Mullens Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Vikings offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 26.89 seconds per play.
The predictive model expects Nick Mullens to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack in this game (13.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.5% in games he has played).
This year, the imposing Bengals run defense has surrendered a puny 4.69 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 25th-best rate in the league.

Favors Under

A throwing game script is implied by the Vikings being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The model projects the Minnesota Vikings as the 6th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of DTs has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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