Nick Foles Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 16

NFL · Player Props

Nick Foles

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Pass Attempts

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 12:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Foles Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Indianapolis Colts have risked going for it on 4th down 23.6% of the time since the start of last season (7th-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Foles to attempt 37.2 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Los Angeles Chargers have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.