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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-109/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.

The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

In this week's contest, Nick Chubb is anticipated by the model to slot into the 79th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.5 rush attempts.

Nick Chubb has been a much bigger part of his team's running game this season (62.6% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.8%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

The leading projections forecast the Cleveland Browns to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Nick Chubb's 2.9 adjusted yards per carry this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his rushing talent over last season's 5.9 mark.

This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has conceded a measly 92.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-fewest in the league.

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