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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 136.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have run the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 62.1 plays per game.

In this week's contest, Nick Chubb is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 84th percentile when it comes to RBs with 16.7 carries.

Nick Chubb has been a more important option in his offense's ground game this season (66.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (41.8%).

This year, the imposing New Orleans Saints run defense has allowed a paltry 5.38 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's ground game: the 31st-smallest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 4th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 38.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

Nick Chubb's running efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 2.66 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.93 rate last season.

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