Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 80.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 80.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 80.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to accrue 16.7 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has garnered 59.5% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
Nick Chubb has grinded out 88.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among RBs (98th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have run for the 5th-least yards in the league (just 101 per game) against the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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