Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-113/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 76.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 74.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.9% run rate.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 64.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to earn 15.1 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Nick Chubb has been given 59.5% of his team's carries this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the least total plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing squads have run for the 7th-least yards in football (just 102 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
The Cleveland Browns have gone up against a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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