Nick Chubb Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to garner 16.5 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among running backs.
Nick Chubb has earned 62.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.

Favors Under

The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.38 yards-per-carry.
The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 10th-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.
The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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