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Nick Chubb
NFL · Player Props
Nick Chubb
RB · Cleveland Browns
Rushing TD
Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM EST
NFL Props Nick Chubb Rushing TD

Nick Chubb Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+114/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -153.

Favors Over
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 8th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) right now with a 46.1% red zone run rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
  • Nick Chubb has been given 55.2% of his team's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • Nick Chubb has run for 0.92 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (99th percentile).
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.
  • The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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