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Nick Chubb
NFL · Player Props
Nick Chubb
RB · Cleveland Browns
Rushing TD
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC
NFL Props Nick Chubb Rushing TD

Nick Chubb Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+108/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +108.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 49.1% red zone run rate.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 62.1 plays per game.
  • Nick Chubb has been given 57.9% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.
  • Nick Chubb has run for 1.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (99th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The Browns are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the 7th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties rank as the 10th-best group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Cleveland Browns have faced a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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