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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the most run-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 47.9% red zone run rate.

Nick Chubb has earned 60.0% of his offense's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile among running backs.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.

Nick Chubb has run for 0.57 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among running backs (93rd percentile).

The Carolina Panthers safeties project as the 29th-worst safety corps in football since the start of last season with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns offense to be the 4th-worst paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 28.42 seconds per snap.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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