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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns will be starting backup QB Jameis Winston this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Browns are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns as the 6th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Cleveland Browns.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (41.1 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has given up the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (78.2%) versus running backs this year (78.2%).

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