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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

The Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) to RBs this year (96.8%).

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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