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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 64.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.
  • The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • Nick Chubb ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, completing just 73.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.
  • The Steelers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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