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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (76.6%) vs. running backs since the start of last season (76.6%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

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