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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Nick Chubb Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-185).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cleveland Browns will be forced to start backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Cleveland Browns have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, lower running volume, and improved pass game efficiency when facing better conditions this week.

The Cleveland Browns O-line profiles as the 8th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The New York Jets pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Completion% in the NFL (87.8%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (87.8%).

The New York Jets linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 47.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 122.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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