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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread implies a throwing game script for the Browns, who are -5.5-point underdogs.

The projections expect the Browns offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 27.33 seconds per snap.

The Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (96.8%) to RBs this year (96.8%).

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 54.4% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Bengals pass defense has been quite strong when opposing running backs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 5.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

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