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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-122/-106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6-point disadvantage, the Browns are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 64.4% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 139.0 total plays called: the most among all games this week.

The most plays in football have been run by the Cleveland Browns this year (a monstrous 62.7 per game on average).

Nick Chubb has accumulated a whopping 1.0 air yards per game this year: 81st percentile when it comes to RBs. (That might not seem like a lot, but most RBs average negative air yards due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) usually prompt worse passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Nick Chubb is positioned as one of the bottom pass-game RBs this year, averaging a mere 5.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 18th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Nick Chubb ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among running backs, completing just 73.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

The Steelers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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