Nick Chubb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Nick Chubb has been among the most effective receivers in football among running backs, averaging a stellar 6.99 yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 84th percentile.
Nick Chubb's ability to grind out extra yardage has gotten better this season, notching 10.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 6.10 figure last season.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has allowed the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (44.0) to running backs this year.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 7th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens defensive ends project as the 10th-best collection of DEs in football this year in regard to rushing the passer.

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