Nick Chubb Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Nick Chubb

NFL · Player Props

Nick Chubb

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Nick Chubb Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have run the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 62.7 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Nick Chubb's possession skills have been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 78.3% to 82.9%.
Nick Chubb's pass-catching efficiency has gotten a boost this season, notching 7.41 yards-per-target vs a measly 6.39 rate last season.

Favors Under

The Browns are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 4th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run among all games this week at 126.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans defense has yielded the 5th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 27.0) to running backs this year.

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