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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-102/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -141 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans offensive approach to lean 5.1% more towards the ground game than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Nick Caley now calling the plays.

The predictive model expects the Texans as the 9th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Texans are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 65.2 offensive plays in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.

The model projects Nick Chubb to accumulate 16.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among running backs.

Out of all running backs, Nick Chubb grades out in the 88th percentile for rush attempts since the start of last season, comprising 57.5% of the workload in his offense's running game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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