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Nick Chubb

Nick Chubb Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Nick Chubb Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 48.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 62.5 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Nick Chubb to notch 17.5 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

The Baltimore Ravens have stacked the box versus opponents on 18.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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