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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-156/+122).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Nelson Agholor's 3.6 adjusted receptions per game this year signifies a a noteworthy gain in his receiving skills over last year's 2.1 rate.

Nelson Agholor's possession skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 60.0% to 84.5%.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has conceded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (76.8%) versus wide receivers this year (76.8%).

The Titans linebackers project as the 6th-worst group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

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