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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-103/-133).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 133.4 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Nelson Agholor's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 60.0% to 77.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Ravens being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has yielded a feeble 61.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 7th-smallest rate in football.

When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Kansas City's unit has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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