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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Baltimore Ravens vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+118/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.
  • Nelson Agholor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 60.0% to 79.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.
  • The Houston cornerbacks grade out as the 3rd-best group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

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