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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Nelson Agholor's 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 60.0% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Ravens to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, San Francisco's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

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