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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Baltimore Ravens vs Las Vegas Raiders

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season.

Nelson Agholor ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league, hauling in an impressive 80.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Nelson Agholor grades out as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in football, averaging an exceptional 9.05 adjusted yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (68.9%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.9%).

The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 5.38 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Ravens being a heavy 7-point favorite this week.

The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 50.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 9th-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 28.56 seconds per play.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Nelson Agholor ranks as one of the bottom wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 22nd percentile.

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