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Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 137.0 total plays run: the most out of all the games this week.When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 4th-best in football this year.Nelson Agholor's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 60.0% to 79.9%.Nelson Agholor's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 6.98 figure last season.This year, the shaky Texans defense has been torched for a staggering 154.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 3rd-worst in the NFL.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Ravens being a big 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest.The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually prompt lessened passing effectiveness, reduced air attack volume, and increased run volume.After accumulating 38.0 air yards per game last year, Nelson Agholor has produced significantly fewer this year, now sitting at 25.0 per game.Nelson Agholor's 2.86 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows an impressive decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.9% figure.
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