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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Ravens are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

While Nelson Agholor has accounted for 9.2% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be much more involved in Baltimore's passing offense in this game at 18.5%.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Nelson Agholor's 77.1% Adjusted Completion% this year indicates a meaningful growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 60.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 5th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Ravens to call the 7th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) usually cause decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and higher rush volume.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Steelers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.5 per game) this year.

After totaling 38.0 air yards per game last season, Nelson Agholor has gotten worse this season, currently boasting 25.0 per game.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

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