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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Miami Dolphins

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Ravens are predicted by the projections to call 66.1 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Nelson Agholor's 76.2% Adjusted Catch Rate this year indicates a noteable progression in his receiving skills over last year's 60.0% mark.

Nelson Agholor's 9.3 adjusted yards per target this year shows a remarkable boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 7.0 mark.

This year, the shaky Dolphins pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Nelson Agholor has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (26.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

Nelson Agholor's skills in grinding out extra yardage have diminished this year, compiling a mere 3.21 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 rate last year.

The Dolphins pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.32 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in football.

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