My Account Log Out

reorder

Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

San Francisco 49ers vs Baltimore Ravens

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Ravens are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.3 pass attempts per game versus the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

The Ravens O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Nelson Agholor's 75.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season conveys a noteable growth in his receiving proficiency over last season's 60.0% rate.

Nelson Agholor's pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this year, totaling 9.68 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 6.98 figure last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Ravens to be the 10th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 57.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Ravens to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Nelson Agholor has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (26.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).

Nelson Agholor's talent in grinding out extra yardage have declined this year, accumulating just 3.32 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 rate last year.

The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts this year, conceding 7.55 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-fewest in football.

More Nelson Agholor Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™