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Nelson Agholor

Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Nelson Agholor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in football.
  • Nelson Agholor has earned a colossal 23.7% of his team's air yards since the start of last season: 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Nelson Agholor's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% increasing from 62.6% to 81.5%.
  • Nelson Agholor's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, accumulating 11.93 yards-per-target vs just 8.39 mark last year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has conceded the most receiving yards per game in football (185.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Patriots to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 57.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots have run the 5th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
  • The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.1%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (64.1%).
  • The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defense has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 5th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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