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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 40.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The projections expect Najee Harris to earn 15.4 carries in this game, on average, placing him in the 88th percentile among running backs.
  • Out of all RBs, Najee Harris grades out in the 90th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 60.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.
  • In regards to blocking for rushers (and the importance it has on all run game stats), the O-line of the Steelers profiles as the 10th-best in football last year.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 8th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Najee Harris's 46.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season shows a noteable decrease in his running prowess over last season's 59.0 figure.
  • With a dreadful rate of 3.56 adjusted yards per carry (24th percentile) this year, Najee Harris stands among the weakest pure rushers in football at the position.
  • This year, the stout Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has given up a puny 85.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-best in the NFL.

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