Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
This week, Najee Harris is predicted by the projection model to slot into the 84th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.2 carries.
Najee Harris has garnered 61.8% of his team's run game usage this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in football last year in run support.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, giving up 4.48 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the 9th-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
Najee Harris's 44.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a a material drop-off in his rushing talent over last season's 59.0 figure.
With a lousy total of 3.49 adjusted yards per carry (23rd percentile) this year, Najee Harris ranks among the weakest pure runners in the league at the position.

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