Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 57.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
The model projects Najee Harris to accrue 15.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Najee Harris has been given 61.4% of his team's carries this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Steelers have been the 8th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 35.4% run rate.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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