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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Steelers to run on 52.2% of their downs: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this contest, Najee Harris is predicted by the projections to rank in the 92nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 18.6 carries.
  • Out of all running backs, Najee Harris grades out in the 88th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 54.7% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • The Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year in run-blocking.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers may take to the air less in this week's game (and call more rushes) because they be forced to start backup quarterback Mason Rudolph.
  • The leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers offense to be the 4th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.31 seconds per snap.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 101.0 per game) versus the Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore defensive tackles project as the 2nd-best DT corps in the NFL this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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