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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to run on 47.4% of their downs: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.

In this contest, Najee Harris is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs with 13.5 carries.

When talking about blocking for ball-carriers (and the influence it has on all ground game statistics), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

This year, the fierce Bengals run defense has given up a mere 4.98 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 30th-lowest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's running game this week (44.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (54.5% in games he has played).

Najee Harris has run for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (47.0) this year than he did last year (59.0).

Najee Harris's ground efficiency (3.65 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (20th percentile among RBs).

More Najee Harris Player Props

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