Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Steelers are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
In this week's game, Najee Harris is forecasted by the model to rank in the 77th percentile among RBs with 14.1 carries.
Najee Harris has received 57.5% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
When it comes to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all run game stats), the offensive line of the Steelers ranks as the 10th-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 54.5 per game on average).
The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may decline.
Najee Harris has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (45.0) this season than he did last season (59.0).
Najee Harris's ground effectiveness (3.60 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (24th percentile when it comes to running backs).

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