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Najee Harris
NFL · Player Props
Najee Harris
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Rushing Yards
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 6, 2022 Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Najee Harris Rushing Yards

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 44.5 @ +108.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 16.0 carries in this game, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers are an enormous 9.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.1% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his team's running game this season (67.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (78.8%).
  • Najee Harris has rushed for many fewer yards per game (42.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
  • Najee Harris's running efficiency (3.06 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (2nd percentile among RBs).
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