Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 22, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-120/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 63.9 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 19-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 16.0 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
Najee Harris has generated 60.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (91st percentile).
The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-worst DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 11th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack this week (66.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (77.2% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Najee Harris's running effectiveness (2.97 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (17th percentile among running backs).

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