Najee Harris Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Najee Harris

NFL · Player Props

Najee Harris

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 14.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (59.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (78.8%).
Najee Harris's running effectiveness (3.60 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (5th percentile among running backs).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 89 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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