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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ -148.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 14.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 2nd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (59.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (78.8%).
  • Najee Harris's running effectiveness (3.60 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (5th percentile among running backs).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in football (just 89 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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