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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Carolina Panthers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+105/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 14.1 carries in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 10th-most yards in football (131 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 10th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 9th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Najee Harris has been much less involved in his offense's run game this season (60.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (78.8%).
  • Najee Harris has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (53.0) this season than he did last season (63.0).
  • Najee Harris's running effectiveness (3.67 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (10th percentile among running backs).

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