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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+111/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to total 13.4 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • Najee Harris has grinded out 54.0 rushing yards per game this year, one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (77th percentile).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run on the slate this week at 123.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be a much smaller part of his team's run game this week (49.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.0% in games he has played).
  • Najee Harris's rushing efficiency (3.72 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (15th percentile among running backs).
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 83 per game) vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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