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Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-110/-110).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 58.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 60.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 61.5 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accrue 16.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box versus opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to be the least run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Najee Harris has been a much smaller piece of his offense's run game this season (65.5% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (78.8%).Najee Harris has rushed for many fewer yards per game (52.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
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