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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Najee Harris Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (+115/-145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.1 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to accumulate 13.0 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 78th percentile among RBs.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to be much less involved in his team's run game this week (49.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (63.3% in games he has played).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.

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