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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

Najee Harris Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 64.1 plays per game.

Najee Harris has garnered 74.4% of his team's red zone carries since the start of last season, ranking him in the 97th percentile among RBs.

Najee Harris has run for 0.37 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among RBs (83rd percentile).

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the league). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat-padding.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Pittsburgh Steelers as the 7th-least run-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.0% red zone run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.

Opposing squads have run for the least TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) against the New England Patriots defense since the start of last season.

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