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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to see 131.5 total plays run: the highest number out of all the games this week.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 61.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast Najee Harris to garner 4.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.

Najee Harris's 14.0% Target Rate this year indicates a remarkable progression in his pass attack usage over last year's 6.5% figure.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 46.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Najee Harris's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 84.7% to 70.1%.

Since the start of last season, the formidable Cowboys defense has allowed a mere 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 2nd-lowest rate in the NFL.

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