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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may slide.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 47.7% of their downs: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Steelers have run the 7th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 56.4 plays per game.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Pittsburgh Steelers grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Chargers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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