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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have 133.3 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in the league (43.7 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have run the 6th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.5 plays per game.

Najee Harris's 9.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 16.2.

The Pittsburgh offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Najee Harris's receiving skills have declined this season, totaling just 1.3 adjusted receptions vs 2.4 last season.

Najee Harris's 70.0% Adjusted Catch% this year marks a material diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 77.9% rate.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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