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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-101/-135).

  • The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Steelers are forecasted by the projection model to run 67.2 total plays in this game: the 2nd-most among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 41.5 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 5th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.5 plays per game.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Najee Harris's 10.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 16.2.
  • The Steelers O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Najee Harris's pass-catching performance tailed off this year, notching a mere 0.9 adjusted catches vs 2.4 last year.

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