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Najee Harris

Najee Harris Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Najee Harris Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers will be rolling out backup quarterback Mason Rudolph in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Steelers are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.

Najee Harris's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 77.9% to 81.3%.

The Seattle Seahawks linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers this year (a measly 55.3 per game on average).

Najee Harris's 36.3% Route Participation% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his air attack usage over last season's 46.9% mark.

The Pittsburgh offensive line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

More Najee Harris Player Props

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